"dr_jeff" wrote in message
...
Blinky Bill wrote:


"dr_jeff" wrote in message
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Blinky Bill wrote:


wrote in message
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In article ,
dr_jeff wrote:
Blinky Bill wrote:


"dr_jeff" wrote in message
...
john wrote:
"dr_jeff" wrote in message
...
john wrote:
http://www.whale.to/b/bill_gates1.html

"If we do a really great job on vaccines, health care,
reproductive
health services, we could lower that [his initial 2050 global
population projection of 9-billion] by perhaps about 10 to 15
percent." ---Bill Gates
With better health care, including vaccines and reproductive
health
services, people have fewer children, leading to a lower increase
in
human population.

Jeff

he didn't say that, but nice attempt at spin

Where did he say that?

Please show I am wrong.

Gates may have been referring to hCG vaccine or other anti-pregnancy
vaccines.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/arti...og%24=activity

I don't think so. Bill Gate's foundation has paid for a lot of health
care in developing nations as well as vaccine development against
infectious diseases.

"Reproductive health services" means access to birth control. Like
women in developed countries, women in underdeveloped countries would
prefer not to have more children than they can raise to healthy
adulthood. That option is not open to most of them now.

Exactly. And a contraceptive vaccine that is effective for several
years is likely to be more successful (and probably cheaper) than
methods which rely on remembering to take pills on a daily basis.

Where there is better health (in part from vaccines and improved access
to health care), kids are more likely to make it to adulthood, so adults
don't need to have as many kids to ensure that some of their kids will
make it to adulthood.

They don't need to but the evidence of population growth in most
developing countries is that they still are.

Reproductive health care means more than birth control.

In the context of reducing the current estimate of population in 2050 it
probably doesn't mean much more than birth control.

Yet, Bill Gates is interested in helping people in developing nations in
ways beyond just birth control.

Nobody has said otherwise - but the best method of substantially reducing
the projected 2050 population (which is what is being discussed, not his
other philanthropic activities) is likely to be birth control rather than
waiting for fertility to decline with improved life expectancy.



Jeff