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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
a href = "http://www.NewsTarget.com/022283.html"Flu Shots Don't
Reduce Flu Deaths/a Flu Shots Don't Reduce Flu Deaths Saturday, November 24, 2007 by: Dr Emily A Kane NewsTarget) A new study published in the October 2007 Lancet (http:// http://www.sciencedirect.com/science...0d a8f9b9d8bf) by researchers at the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Bethesda, MD, concludes that influenza vaccinations in the US have prevented fewer deaths than indicated by previous research (Arch Intern Med 2005; 165: 265-72). Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people have shown that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. "But it's really hard to find out who died of influenza because it's not a reportable disease and few people are tested", says lead NIH researcher Lone Simonsen. Some research has tested the efficacy of flu vaccines on illness but has not evaluated the effect of flu vaccines on influenza death rates in elderly people. Over the past 25 years, the proportion of those aged 65 years or more who receive flu shots has climbed from 15% to 65% in the US. Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people concluded that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. Yet current estimates of winter death causes suggest that flu-related mortality has actually risen since 1980. Simonsen's team took into account an ageing population and the exceptional virulence of a flu strain prevalent in the 1990s. When her team analyzed the available data for causes of death in the elderly during the past 25 years, she says that about 10% of winter deaths could be attributable to influenza, and more during the "pandemics" of the 1990s. The older study estimating 50% reduction of deaths in the winter was evidently "overestimating the mortality benefit of vaccination." This is because the "endpoint" in these studies (death) wasn't limited to death from the flu. Many winter deaths in the elderly are from pneumonia, and getting a flu shot would have no bearing on preventing death from pneumonia. More older folks were getting flu shots, yet more of them were dying of the flu. It doesn't add up. Publication of Simonsen's new study provoked strong reactions. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reiterated its faith in existing studies, and questioned the methodology of the NIH study. Concerned by the impact of official disagreements on public confidence, the CDC and NIH released a joint statement, saying that annual vaccinations continue to provide the best protection for elderly people. Despite that official statement, other researchers, such as Dr. Ira Longini (Emory University, Atlanta, GA) maintains, "it is clear that increasing vaccination of the elderly has not resulted in a decrease in pneumonia and influenza mortality in that age group." He points to a mix of robust and frail immune systems in the population as an explanation for why some folks succumb to the flu, and why vaccination status doesn't seem to matter. "As we increase vaccine coverage, a proportion of the elderly do not respond to vaccination and will get sick and die from flu whether they are vaccinated or not." Another way of saying this is: vaccinations may not impact death rates in the elderly at all. Further, given that the flu shot is still preserved with a mercury product (thimerosol), and that mercury toxicity has been linked to more rapid progression of Alzheimer's in the elderly, one hopes that a future study will explore whether the elderly are actually better off without flu vaccines at all. www.DrEmilyKane.com About the author Dr Emily Kane is a practising naturopathic physician and licensed acupuncturist. For more info see www.DrEmilyKane.com |
#2
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
"bigvince" wrote in message
... a href = "http://www.NewsTarget.com/022283.html"Flu Shots Don't Reduce Flu Deaths/a Flu Shots Don't Reduce Flu Deaths Saturday, November 24, 2007 by: Dr Emily A Kane NewsTarget) A new study published in the October 2007 Lancet (http:// http://www.sciencedirect.com/science...0d a8f9b9d8bf) by researchers at the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Bethesda, MD, concludes that influenza vaccinations in the US have prevented fewer deaths than indicated by previous research (Arch Intern Med 2005; 165: 265-72). Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people have shown that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. "But it's really hard to find out who died of influenza because it's not a reportable disease and few people are tested", says lead NIH researcher Lone Simonsen. Some research has tested the efficacy of flu vaccines on illness but has not evaluated the effect of flu vaccines on influenza death rates in elderly people. Over the past 25 years, the proportion of those aged 65 years or more who receive flu shots has climbed from 15% to 65% in the US. Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people concluded that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. Yet current estimates of winter death causes suggest that flu-related mortality has actually risen since 1980. Simonsen's team took into account an ageing population and the exceptional virulence of a flu strain prevalent in the 1990s. When her team analyzed the available data for causes of death in the elderly during the past 25 years, she says that about 10% of winter deaths could be attributable to influenza, and more during the "pandemics" of the 1990s. The older study estimating 50% reduction of deaths in the winter was evidently "overestimating the mortality benefit of vaccination." This is because the "endpoint" in these studies (death) wasn't limited to death from the flu. Many winter deaths in the elderly are from pneumonia, and getting a flu shot would have no bearing on preventing death from pneumonia. More older folks were getting flu shots, yet more of them were dying of the flu. It doesn't add up. Publication of Simonsen's new study provoked strong reactions. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reiterated its faith in existing studies, and questioned the methodology of the NIH study. Concerned by the impact of official disagreements on public confidence, the CDC and NIH released a joint statement, saying that annual vaccinations continue to provide the best protection for elderly people. Despite that official statement, other researchers, such as Dr. Ira Longini (Emory University, Atlanta, GA) maintains, "it is clear that increasing vaccination of the elderly has not resulted in a decrease in pneumonia and influenza mortality in that age group." He points to a mix of robust and frail immune systems in the population as an explanation for why some folks succumb to the flu, and why vaccination status doesn't seem to matter. "As we increase vaccine coverage, a proportion of the elderly do not respond to vaccination and will get sick and die from flu whether they are vaccinated or not." Another way of saying this is: vaccinations may not impact death rates in the elderly at all. Further, given that the flu shot is still preserved with a mercury product (thimerosol), and that mercury toxicity has been linked to more rapid progression of Alzheimer's in the elderly, one hopes that a future study will explore whether the elderly are actually better off without flu vaccines at all. www.DrEmilyKane.com Would not surprise me. Influenza vaccine is one of the less reliable vaccines, because of the ability of the virus to mutate. I have the vaccine, not so much through fear that I might die, but in the hope that it will spare me that miserable illness in some epidemics. PM About the author Dr Emily Kane is a practising naturopathic physician and licensed acupuncturist. For more info see www.DrEmilyKane.com |
#3
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
Flu vaccine is one of the most cruel hoaxes there are. Most health professionals do not take it, and this should already be enough to know what we're dealing with here... Most health professionals are not very bright, of course, but _even they_ can see through the hoax! The Pharma activists in these ngs OTOH seem to be all happy to be injected with fluvax, which, again, should tell you all you need to know about them... Regards, Yuri. "bigvince" wrote in message ... a href = "http://www.NewsTarget.com/022283.html"Flu Shots Don't Reduce Flu Deaths/a Flu Shots Don't Reduce Flu Deaths Saturday, November 24, 2007 by: Dr Emily A Kane NewsTarget) A new study published in the October 2007 Lancet (http:// http://www.sciencedirect.com/science...0d a8f9b9d8bf) by researchers at the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Bethesda, MD, concludes that influenza vaccinations in the US have prevented fewer deaths than indicated by previous research (Arch Intern Med 2005; 165: 265-72). Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people have shown that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. "But it's really hard to find out who died of influenza because it's not a reportable disease and few people are tested", says lead NIH researcher Lone Simonsen. Some research has tested the efficacy of flu vaccines on illness but has not evaluated the effect of flu vaccines on influenza death rates in elderly people. Over the past 25 years, the proportion of those aged 65 years or more who receive flu shots has climbed from 15% to 65% in the US. Previous research that compared death rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups of elderly people concluded that flu vaccination reduces all winter deaths by 50%. Yet current estimates of winter death causes suggest that flu-related mortality has actually risen since 1980. Simonsen's team took into account an ageing population and the exceptional virulence of a flu strain prevalent in the 1990s. When her team analyzed the available data for causes of death in the elderly during the past 25 years, she says that about 10% of winter deaths could be attributable to influenza, and more during the "pandemics" of the 1990s. The older study estimating 50% reduction of deaths in the winter was evidently "overestimating the mortality benefit of vaccination." This is because the "endpoint" in these studies (death) wasn't limited to death from the flu. Many winter deaths in the elderly are from pneumonia, and getting a flu shot would have no bearing on preventing death from pneumonia. More older folks were getting flu shots, yet more of them were dying of the flu. It doesn't add up. Publication of Simonsen's new study provoked strong reactions. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reiterated its faith in existing studies, and questioned the methodology of the NIH study. Concerned by the impact of official disagreements on public confidence, the CDC and NIH released a joint statement, saying that annual vaccinations continue to provide the best protection for elderly people. Despite that official statement, other researchers, such as Dr. Ira Longini (Emory University, Atlanta, GA) maintains, "it is clear that increasing vaccination of the elderly has not resulted in a decrease in pneumonia and influenza mortality in that age group." He points to a mix of robust and frail immune systems in the population as an explanation for why some folks succumb to the flu, and why vaccination status doesn't seem to matter. "As we increase vaccine coverage, a proportion of the elderly do not respond to vaccination and will get sick and die from flu whether they are vaccinated or not." Another way of saying this is: vaccinations may not impact death rates in the elderly at all. Further, given that the flu shot is still preserved with a mercury product (thimerosol), and that mercury toxicity has been linked to more rapid progression of Alzheimer's in the elderly, one hopes that a future study will explore whether the elderly are actually better off without flu vaccines at all. www.DrEmilyKane.com About the author Dr Emily Kane is a practising naturopathic physician and licensed acupuncturist. For more info see www.DrEmilyKane.com |
#4
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
On Nov 27, 6:36 pm, "Yuri Kuchinsky" wrote:
Flu vaccine is one of the most cruel hoaxes there are. Most health professionals do not take it, and this should already be enough to know what we're dealing with here... Most health professionals are not very bright, of course, but _even they_ can see through the hoax! The Pharma activists in these ngs OTOH seem to be all happy to be injected with fluvax, which, again, should tell you all you need to know about them... Regards, Yuri. One does need to learn that the elderly are so devitalized that they cannot mount a reasonable body defense like a fever. Shooting them up with a vaccine can, and often does, kill them. A flu is a normal body response by a vital body to eliminating accumulated toxins. The actions of the body is to shut down all other sources of energy drains like movement, eating, working, etc. The energy then provided is used to eliminate the internal crud. We may not like it, but if we allow the body to conduct the internal cleansing, we will get out of our sick beds to do it to ourselves again...and again...and again. DrCee Not a member of the medical monopoly Not a member of the church of modern medicine. |
#5
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
I'll suggest that if those elderly had been on
a regimen including vitamin D3 and melatonin the flu vaccine induce immunity would have been more effective. Recall flu shots are more effective in younger persons. In the elderly, the vaccine tends to only make the flu less worse as their immune systems are often weaken with age and poor conventional advice. |
#6
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
On Nov 28, 6:12 am, wrote:
I'll suggest that if those elderly had been on a regimen including vitamin D3 and melatonin the flu vaccine induce immunity would have been more effective. Recall flu shots are more effective in younger persons. In the elderly, the vaccine tends to only make the flu less worse as their immune systems are often weaken with age and poor conventional advice. Vitamin d may well be protective against the flu with or without flu shots. Flu shots are not very effective for a variety of reasons.They do cause serious side effects in my opinion the risk benefit ratio is very poor. Of course I do not sell the stuff. Thanks Vince |
#7
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
On Nov 28, 12:36 am, "Yuri Kuchinsky" wrote:
Flu vaccine is one of the most cruel hoaxes there are. Most health professionals do not take it, and this should already be enough to know what we're dealing with here... Most health professionals are not very bright, of course, but _even they_ can see through the hoax! I don't know where you live, but at our hospital there is almost no healthcare professional who does not take the shot, and there work almost 5'000 employees here. |
#8
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
On Nov 28, 4:03 am, wrote:
A flu is a normal body response by a vital body to eliminating accumulated toxins. The actions of the body is to shut down all other sources of energy drains like movement, eating, working, etc. The energy then provided is used to eliminate the internal crud. I wonder what that "crud" would be. Like what? |
#9
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
A report by the CDC on the effectiveness of the 2003-2004 influenza
vaccine showed only a 14% and 3% effectiveness. Still worse, the person-time analysis showed that vaccinated persons had a 12.28% chance of becoming ill (ILI), whereas non-vaccinated persons had a 11.5% (or 10.6% analysis #2) chance of becoming ill, indicating you were more likely to become ill if you were vaccinated against influenza. |
#10
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NIH study questions benefit of flu shots in elderly
Roman Bystrianyk wrote:
A report by the CDC on the effectiveness of the 2003-2004 influenza vaccine showed only a 14% and 3% effectiveness. Still worse, the person-time analysis showed that vaccinated persons had a 12.28% chance of becoming ill (ILI), whereas non-vaccinated persons had a 11.5% (or 10.6% analysis #2) chance of becoming ill, indicating you were more likely to become ill if you were vaccinated against influenza. The likelihood of becoming ill isn't the only consideration; the severity of the illness must be included. If I have an 11.5% chance of becoming seriously ill with flu, versus a 12.28% chance of becoming ill with a much less severe case that is of much shorter duration, I think I'll go with the latter. |
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